Looking at the polls alone, most media pundits have already decided to call the 2008 presidential election for Barack Obama. There is no need to let the voters decide when we have the fourth branch of government at MSNBC, CNN and The New York Times, right?
When all is said and done, voters in 2008 will come to see how much the media manipulates polling data to influence voters. The liberal elite disdains the critical thinking skills of the great “unwashed” American electorate. Therefore, they have taken the responsibility of telling us what to think and how we are going to vote. Never mind that just a few months ago John McCain was their darling “moderate Republican” and Sarah Palin “the most popular governor in America.” According to experts, McCain’s campaign is in disarray and Palin is a drag on the ticket. It’s already too late for McCain. The polls show it. The talking heads have decreed it. The media has prewritten the script.
There is a problem with their duplicity. Polls are accurate on average within 3 to 4 points. If the polls on election day show that the pollsters were intentionally skewing the samples to break far outside the margin of error, the public will lose faith in polls. This tool to influence public opinion will be gone in the next election cycle. It is in the best interest of the pollsters to maintain accuracy. They realize though, that they need to be accurate only in the few days immediately preceding the election in order to maintain credibility.
This is also part of the prewritten script. It was foretold last week that the polls would tighten in the last few days. Several polls already show a statistical tie within the margin of error.
How did they know?
It is a loosely guarded secret that the political parties’ private polling data shows a much closer race. We saw McCain campaigning in Iowa, a state that the pollsters have far out of his reach. A leak from the Obama camp a week ago had their Pennsylvania poll as a one point race. Here is problem for the liberal pundits. With a McCain win, the public’s trust in polling must be thrown out the window.
There is yet another fact we hear little about. Obama needs to poll at 50 percent or higher in the last week in order to win. Here is why that may be a problem for him. In the primaries, Obama nearly always polled higher than the actual voting results. If the polls show Obama at 50 percent, then he is most likely now at 47 or 48 percent. The IBD/TIPP Tracking Poll — the most accurate presidential poll in 2004 — has Obama at 47 percent and McCain only 2.8 points behind at 44.2. If Obama is at that “iron ceiling” of 47 percent right now, it’s unlikely that he will move beyond that in the next seven days.
McCain is probably trailing at the moment, but he is within 3 or 4 points of a plurality. He merely has to shave one or two points from Obama supporters who may still change their mind. Then it is likely that most the “undecideds” will break in McCain’s favor. He will be the benefactor of most of the uncommitted vote. To have such a large block uncommitted this late in the story is unusual. So if Obama dips to 47 percent in the polls — a statistical tie — McCain could finish with an electoral college landslide.
The “x-factor” that Obama has to be concerned about is the three percent that according to almost all polling data will go toward Ralph Nader. These are points taken from Obama’s column. The one percent that might go to Bob Barr will be taken mostly from McCain. It’s possible that on November 5th, a statistical tie in the polls may yield the following results:
That’s a slim two point plurality, but it could be an electoral college landslide for McCain.
McCain …. 49 percent
Obama ….. 47 percent
Nader …….. 3 percent
Barr ……….. 1 percent
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High Quality Paperback — 200 pages
A Reasonable Response to Christian Postmodernism
Includes a response to the book Christian Jihad by Colonel V. Doner
The title of this book is a misnomer. In reality, I am not trying to get anyone to shut up, but rather to provoke a discussion. This book is a warning about the philosophy of “Christian postmodernism” and the threat that it poses not only to Christian orthodoxy, but to the peace and prosperity our culture as well. The purpose is to equip the reader with some basic principles that can be used to refute their arguments.
Part 1 is a response to some of the recent writings by Frank Schaeffer, the son of the late Francis Schaeffer. This was originally written as a defense against Frank’s attacks on pro-life street activism – a movement that his father helped bring into being through his books, A Christian Manifesto, How Should We Then Live? and Whatever Happened to the Human Race? These works have impacted literally hundreds of thousands of Christian activists.
Part 2 is a response to Colonel Doner and his book, Christian Jihad: Neo-Fundamentalists and the Polarization of America. Doner was one of the key architects of the Christian Right that emerged in the 1980s, who now represents the disillusionment and defection many Christian activists experienced in the 1990s and 2000s. There is still great hope for America to be reformed according to biblical principles. As a new generation is emerging, it is important to recognize the mistakes that Christian activists have made in the past even while holding to a vision for the future.
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Who is the dreaded beast of Revelation?
Now at last, a plausible candidate for this personification of evil incarnate has been identified (or re-identified). Ken Gentry’s insightful analysis of scripture and history is likely to revolutionize your understanding of the book of Revelation — and even more importantly — amplify and energize your entire Christian worldview!
Historical footage and other graphics are used to illustrate the lecture Dr. Gentry presented at the 1999 Ligonier Conference in Orlando, Florida. It is followed by a one-hour question and answer session addressing the key concerns and objections typically raised in response to his position. This presentation also features an introduction that touches on not only the confusion and controversy surrounding this issue — but just why it may well be one of the most significant issues facing the Church today.
Ideal for group meetings, personal Bible study — for anyone who wants to understand the historical context of John’s famous letter “… to the seven churches which are in Asia.” (Revelation 1:4)
Running Time: 145 minutes
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“When the lives of the unborn are snuffed out, they often feel pain, pain that is long and agonizing.” – President Ronald Reagan to National Religious Broadcasters Convention, January 1981
Ronald Reagan became convinced of this as a result of watching The Silent Scream – a movie he considered so powerful and convicting that he screened it at the White House.
The modern technology of real-time ultrasound now reveals the actual responses of a 12-week old fetus to being aborted. As the unborn child attempts to escape the abortionist’s suction curette, her motions can be seen to become desperately agitated and her heart rate doubles. Her mouth opens – as if to scream – but no sound can come out. Her scream doesn’t have to remain silent, however … not if you will become her voice. This newly re-mastered version features eight language tracks and two bonus videos.
“… a high technology “Uncle Tom’s Cabin” arousing public opinion just as Harriet Beecher Stowe’s 1852 antislavery novel ignited the abolitionist movement.” – Sen. Gordon Humphrey, Time Magazine
Languages: English, Spanish, French, South Korean, Chinese, Russian, Portuguese, Japanese
Running Time: 28 minutes
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Is there a connection between pagan religion and the abortion industry?
This powerful presentation traces the biblical roots of child sacrifice and then delves into the social, political and cultural fall-out that this sin against God and crime against humanity has produced in our beleaguered society.
Conceived as a sequel and update to the 1988 classic, The Massacre of Innocence, the new title, The Abortion Matrix, is entirely fitting. It not only references abortion’s specific target – the sacred matrix where human beings are formed in the womb in the very image of God, but it also implies the existence of a conspiracy, a matrix of seemingly disparate forces that are driving this holocaust.
The occult activity surrounding the abortion industry is exposed with numerous examples. But are these just aberrations, bizarre yet anomalous examples of abortionists who just happen to have ties to modern day witchcraft? Or is this representative of something deeper, more sinister and even endemic to the entire abortion movement?
As the allusion to the film of over a decade ago suggests, the viewer may learn that things are not always as they appear to be. The Abortion Matrix reveals the reality of child-killing and strikes the proper moral chord to move hearts to fulfill the biblical responsibility to rescue those unjustly sentenced to death and to speak for those who cannot speak for themselves (Proverbs 24:11,12; 31:8,9).
Speakers include: George Grant, Peter Hammond, RC Sproul Jr., Paul Jehle, Lou Engle, Rusty Thomas, Flip Benham, Janet Porter and many more.
Ten parts, over three hours of instruction!
Running Time: 195 minutes
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Exposes the Dangers of Abortion to Women!
These shocking eyewitness accounts expose the dangers of abortion not only to unborn children, but to the health and lives women as well. An antidote to the smokescreens of the liberal media, these short clips show what really happens in and around abortion clinics.
Although the content is emotionally gut-wrenching, these videos have been used in church seminars and small groups to educate Christians on the abortion issue and to lead people toward a pro-life position. Contains 2 hours and 40 minutes of materials that can be shown separately.
Watch these pro-life videos on-line.
“These videos helped change my mind from pro-choice to pro-life. Your videos are what did it for me. I will be walking in next year’s March For Life in San Francisco.” — A. Jackson, California
“I was going to have an abortion until I saw your video. Praise Jesus!”
— M. Drew, YouTube Commenter
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