Is Huckabee gaining on McCain in Virginia?

The SurveyUSA Poll below was actually taken on Saturday and Sunday. Half of those surveyed did not know about Huckabee’s big wins in Louisiana and Kansas. Huckabee has gained 12 points while McCain has dropped nine. The huge 21 point bump is reflected in only half of those polled who knew of the big wins. Although this isn’t scientific, I would guess that if the poll had been taken Sunday and Monday, we would see a further 5 point drop for McCain and at least 6 more points for Huckabee.

That would fit my prediction from earlier today:

Huckabee—44
McCain—43
Paul—8
Other—5

In another stunning development , Sean Hannity had Huckabee on his radio show today and later defended Huck’s strategy of running for a brokered convention as plausible scenario. They even vowed to make up and be “pals” again. Hannity is now a card carrying member of the Anybody-But- McCain-Coalition!

Welcome back Sean, we love you once again!

- Jay Rogers

Huckabee Shows Movement In Virginia Poll

The last SurveyUSA poll before Virgina’s primary:

McCain 48% (-9)

Huckabee 37% (+12)

Eve of VA GOP Primary 2/11/08: Huckabee Closes-In On McCain: Big movement in Virginia following Mike Huckabee’s strong showing over the weekend in Louisiana, Kansas and Washington state. On the eve of the Virginia Republican Primary, it’s John McCain 48%, Mike Huckabee 37%. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA tracking poll released 72 hours ago, McCain is down 9, Huckabee is up 12. McCain had led by 32, now leads by 11.

Among Conservative voters, McCain had led by 21, now trails by 5.

Among Pro-Life voters, McCain had led by 20 points, now trails by 6.

Among voters in Southeast VA, McCain had led by 28, now trails by 12.

Among voters focused on Immigration, McCain had led by 16, now trails by 17.

Among voters who attend religious services regularly, McCain had led by 24, now trails by 2.

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