Here’s something interesting. As you read this blurb from PoliticalWire.com remember that this is from March 2, 2008:
Clinton Internal Polls Show Close Race
“Privately, Clinton campaign advisors say their own internal polls show the race tightening in Ohio and remaining very close in Texas,” according to ABC News. “In their best case scenario, Clinton aides hope she could win Ohio by 3 to 6 points and squeak out a victory in Texas. They would consider that a good night and reason to fight on to Pennsylvania, which holds its primary on April 22. Other scenarios, they admit, are not so pretty.”
Here were the final RCP poll averages:
Spread: Clinton +7.1
Spread: Clinton +1.7
Here were the actual results:
Spread: Clinton +12.1
Spread: Clinton +3.5
In Pennsylvania too the results for Clinton were higher than expected.
Spread: Clinton +6.1
Spread: Clinton +9.2
If you look at the polling data just a few days before, you’ll see a surge by Obama and then a drop off. Is it likely that the polls could shift 3 or 4 points in key battleground states between November 3rd and 4th?
My prediction is that if the national polls average 4 points or less in Obama’s favor the day before the election, McCain wins.
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Your comments are welcome!
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God’s Law and Society powerfully presents a comprehensive worldview based upon the ethical system found in the Law of God.
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Patrick Henry’s famous declaration not only helped launch the War for Independence, it also perfectly summarized the mindset that gave birth to, and sustained, the unprecedented experiment in Christian liberty that was America.
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