Who will win the Republican nomination?
I don’t think John McCain can win the nomination with an outright majority. Too much of the conservative base of the Republican Party is stacked against him. Depending on who does better on Super Tuesday, Romney and Huckabee ought to forge a deal to block McCain. Together they might have more delegates than McCain. I would not be surprised to see them finish out as a “combined ticket” depending on who is in second and third place respectively.
I voted for Mike Huckabee on Tuesday and was berated last week by Christians who were both Ron Paul supporters and Mitt Romney supporters. The Paul supporters thought I was making a bad choice in voting for a “fiscal liberal.” The Romney supporters thought that I was helping McCain win by voting for Huckabee merely because he is the strongest pro-life candidate.
Thankfully, none of my Christian friends voted for McCain — even though nationally he’s getting a good slice of the evangelical vote. My friends who are Ron Paul supporters are either Christian Reconstructionists or those convinced that a “New World Order” is looming on the horizon and Paul is supposedly the only one who can save us from it. The few who voted for Romney are taken in by the idea that Huckabee could not possibly beat the Clintons — even though he’s stood up to their political machine in Arkansas and won — twice.
I am amazed at the number of people who believe the media hype that McCain is destined to be coronated on Super Tuesday. Less than 10 percent of the delegates have been chosen. The daily tracking polls a few days after the Florida primary show Romney and McCain tied or within one percent of each other at around 29 percent nationally. Meanwhile, Mike Huckabee’s support has rebounded to around 20 percent. With the margin of error inherent in all polls, it’s anybody’s nomination.
What really surprises me is the daily tracking polls. Everyone assumed that with Thompson and Giuliani out of the race that all these votes would go to McCain or Romney and Huckabee’s standing would continue to plummet. Yet Huckabee has gained about five percentage points this week in national polls while Romney and McCain are holding steady. No one has more than one-third of the voters yet in any poll.
A candidate needs 1,191 delegates to win a 51 percent majority.
This is how it stands before Super Tuesday.
McCain — 93
Romney — 59
Huckabee — 40
If McCain finishes first in the “winner take all” states, he’s in good shape to be the frontrunner. But if Romney and McCain split the big delegate contests evenly, then it’s a close race in most of the upcoming primary states. If Huckabee can take Missouri, Alabama, Tennesee, Georgia and show well in Illinois, it won’t make him the frontrunner, but he will move forward. There will still be a three man race with little more than half the delegates chosen.
Add to this the fact that McCain’s negatives are higher among the conservative Republican base than Romney’s and Huckabee’s. Then consider that many of the contests are closed primaries in which only Republicans can vote. So even if McCain goes into the convention with the most delegates, a plurality does not guarantee the winner. An argument could be made that since most of the conservative base of Republicans went for someone other than McCain, then someone else should be the nominee. Then we are likely looking at Romney/Huckabee or a Huckabee/Romney ticket.
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Martin Luther: Digitally Remastered 1953 Classic (DVD)
“Here I stand … I can do no other!”
With these immortal words, an unknown German monk sparked a spiritual revolution that changed the world.
The dramatic classic film of Martin Luther’s life was released in theaters worldwide in the 1950s and was nominated for two Oscars. A magnificent depiction of Luther and the forces at work in the surrounding society that resulted in his historic reform efforts, this film traces Luther’s life from a guilt-burdened monk to his eventual break with the Roman Catholic Church.
Running time: 105 minutes
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Watch a clip from Martin Luther.
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Dr. Francis Schaeffer - How Should We Then Live? (DVD)
Special Two-Disc Set!
After 40 years of intense study and world-wide ministry, Dr. Francis Schaeffer completed his crowning work of scholarship – to present profound truths in simple film language. Dr. Schaeffer’s brilliant analysis of the past and predictions for current trends have proven so uncannily accurate that this amazing series still feels contemporary almost three decades after its initial release. Ultimately, Schaeffer concludes that man’s only hope is a return to God’s Biblical absolute, the truth revealed in Christ through the Scriptures.
Available for the first time on DVD, this documentary spectacular also includes intimate in-depth conversations with Francis and Edith Schaeffer. With the on-disc study guide, this presentation forms a unique course of comprehensive study. While this series forms an innovative analysis of the past, this outstanding work is more than history. Each episode focuses on a significant era, yet speaks clearly to 21st-century man with answers for modern problems.
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God's Law and Society (DVD)
Download the Free Study Guide!
God’s Law and Society powerfully presents a comprehensive worldview based upon the ethical system found in the Law of God.
Speakers include: R.J. Rushdoony, George Grant, Howard Phillips, R.C. Sproul Jr., Ken Gentry, Gary DeMar, Jay Grimstead, Steven Schlissel, Andrew Sandlin, Eric Holmberg, and more!
Sixteen Christian leaders and scholars answer some of the most common questions and misconceptions related to this volatile issue:
1. Are we under Law or under Grace?
2. Does the Old Testament Law apply today?
3. Can we legislate morality?
4. What are the biblical foundations of government?
5. Was America founded as a Christian nation?
6. What about the separation of Church and State?
7. Is neutrality a myth?
8. What about non-Christians and the Law of God?
9. Would there be “freedom” in a Christian republic?
10. What would a “Christian America” look like?
Perfect for group instruction as well as personal Bible study.
Ten parts, over four hours of instruction!
Running Time: 240 minutes
Watch over 60 on-line video interviews from God’s Law and Society.
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The Four Keys to the Millennium (Book)
Foundations in Biblical Eschatology
By Jay Rogers, Larry Waugh, Rodney Stortz, Joseph Meiring. High quality paperback, 167 pages.
All Christians believe that their great God and Savior, Jesus Christ, will one day return. Although we cannot know the exact time of His return, what exactly did Jesus mean when he spoke of the signs of His coming (Mat. 24)? How are we to interpret the prophecies in Isaiah regarding the time when “the earth will be full of the knowledge of the LORD as the waters cover the sea” (Isa. 11:19)? Should we expect a time of great tribulation and apostasy or revival and reformation before the Lord returns? Is the devil bound now, and are the saints reigning with Christ? Did you know that there are four hermeneutical approaches to the book of Daniel and Revelation?
These and many more questions are dealt with by four authors as they present the four views on the millennium. Each view is then critiqued by the other three authors.
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Frank Schaeffer Will You Please Shut Up! (Book)
High Quality Paperback — 200 pages
A Reasonable Response to Christian Postmodernism
Includes a response to the book Christian Jihad by Colonel V. Doner
The title of this book is a misnomer. In reality, I am not trying to get anyone to shut up, but rather to provoke a discussion. This book is a warning about the philosophy of “Christian postmodernism” and the threat that it poses not only to Christian orthodoxy, but to the peace and prosperity our culture as well. The purpose is to equip the reader with some basic principles that can be used to refute their arguments.
Part 1 is a response to some of the recent writings by Frank Schaeffer, the son of the late Francis Schaeffer. This was originally written as a defense against Frank’s attacks on pro-life street activism – a movement that his father helped bring into being through his books, A Christian Manifesto, How Should We Then Live? and Whatever Happened to the Human Race? These works have impacted literally hundreds of thousands of Christian activists.
Part 2 is a response to Colonel Doner and his book, Christian Jihad: Neo-Fundamentalists and the Polarization of America. Doner was one of the key architects of the Christian Right that emerged in the 1980s, who now represents the disillusionment and defection many Christian activists experienced in the 1990s and 2000s. There is still great hope for America to be reformed according to biblical principles. As a new generation is emerging, it is important to recognize the mistakes that Christian activists have made in the past even while holding to a vision for the future.
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